All eight races
The record
Hinson voted for the tax credits behind Summit's pipeline.
U.S. House, July 3, 2025.
Clerk of the U.S. House, roll call 190, H.R. 1. Public Law 119-21 extended the 45Z credit and kept 45Q.
Endorsed · U.S. Senate, Iowa · Nov 3
Thomas Laehn is on your ballot.
Hold your party accountable.
| Register | Pre-register by Mon, Oct 19, 5 pm. After that, register in person at your county auditor or at your polling place, with ID and proof of address. |
| Early voting | In person at your county auditor, Wed, Oct 14 to Mon, Nov 2. |
| Mail ballot | Your request must reach your county auditor by 5 pm, Mon, Oct 19. Your ballot must arrive by 8 pm, Tue, Nov 3. |
| Election day | Tue, Nov 3, 7 am to 8 pm |
Vote early. Bring two.
Early voting Oct 14 to Nov 2 · Pre-register by Mon Oct 19
Iowa Secretary of State, as of Oct 3
The Iowa kit
13 to share
Rechain the Dogs of War
Rechain the Dogs of War, 30 seconds
Rechain the Dogs of War, 60 seconds
Rechain the Dogs of War, 60 seconds
Rechain the Dogs of War, 15 seconds
Rechain the Dogs of War, 30 seconds
Running against the two-party system itself.
Margin Is Calling, Cut I
Margin Is Calling, Cut II
Margin Is Calling, Cut III
Margin Is Calling, Cut IV
Margin Is Calling, Cut III, 60 seconds
Endorsed
Thomas Laehn, Libertarian
As Greene County Attorney, he read the county's letter objecting to Summit's use of eminent domain. Supervisors approved it 3 to 2, April 11, 2022.
“I am not running against a Democrat or a Republican; I am running against the two-party system itself.”
Greene County Board of Supervisors minutes, April 11, 2022; laehn4iowa.org.
For reporters
Every number here has a source.
Updated Oct 9, 2026, 8:54 am ET
Ratings
| Cook Political Report | Toss UpMoved from Lean R, Aug 20, 2026 |
| Inside Elections | Tilt RMoved from Lean R, Aug 6, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-upMoved from Leans R, Sep 22, 2026 |
Cook Political Report; Inside Elections; Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Polls
| Emerson CollegeOct 5 to 6, 2026 · 650 LV · rounded | Hinson 47 · Turek 45 · Laehn 2 |
| New York Times/SienaSep 22 to Oct 1, 2026 · 606 LV | Hinson 48 · Turek 47 |
| Rasmussen ReportsSep 28 to 30, 2026 · 1,048 LV | Hinson 43 · Turek 47 · Laehn 3 |
| Quantus InsightsSep 28 to 29, 2026 · 738 LV | Hinson 47.1 · Turek 45.8 · Laehn 1.7 |
| Fox NewsSep 24 to 28, 2026 · 1,008 LV | Hinson 47 · Turek 49 |
| InsiderAdvantageSep 22 to 23, 2026 · 1,200 LV | Hinson 45.7 · Turek 47.4 · Laehn 1.6 |
| MaristSep 17 to 20, 2026 · 1,050 RV | Hinson 42 · Turek 50 |
| Trafalgar GroupSep 16 to 18, 2026 · 1,089 LV | Hinson 44 · Turek 42.1 · Laehn 3.4 |
| co/efficientSep 14 to 16, 2026 · 831 LV | Hinson 46 · Turek 42 · Laehn 2 |
| Cygnal (Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation)Sep 9 to 11, 2026 · 500 LV | Hinson 42.9 · Turek 42.9 · Laehn 3.6 |
| YouGovSep 3 to 8, 2026 · 2,130 LV | Hinson 43 · Turek 45 |
Public polls fielded since Sep 3, newest first. Laehn's share is blank where the poll did not report him by name.
Money
| Ashley Hinson (R), campaign raised | $10,217,845 |
| Josh Turek (D), campaign raised | $6,276,527 |
Federal Election Commission, 2025 to 2026 candidate totals through Jun 30, 2026.
The margin
Quantus Insights, Sep 28 to 29: Hinson led Turek by 1.3 points; Laehn drew 1.7 percent.
Quantus Insights, 738 Iowa likely voters, Sep 28 to 29, 2026.