All eight races
The record
Nearly half of Republican primary voters chose someone other than Michele Tafoya.
Minnesota's Republican primary, Aug 11, 2026.
Minnesota Secretary of State, Aug 11, 2026 primary results, U.S. Senator: Tafoya won 211,813 of 406,823 Republican votes; 47.9 percent chose someone else.
Endorsed · U.S. Senate, Minnesota · Nov 3
Rebecca Whiting is on your ballot.
Hold your party accountable.
| Register | Online by 11:59 pm or on paper by 5 pm, Tue, Oct 13. After that, register when you vote, early or at your polling place, with one proof of residence. |
| Early voting | In person, Fri, Sep 18 to Mon, Nov 2, at your county's voting locations before Election Day. From Fri, Oct 16, your ballot goes straight into the ballot counter. |
| Mail ballot | Apply online; Minnesota recommends applying by Tue, Oct 20. A witness signs your envelope. Election officials must receive your ballot by Election Day, Tue, Nov 3; a postmark does not count. Or drop it off yourself by 5 pm Tue, Nov 3. |
| Election day | Tue, Nov 3. Most polling places are open 7 am to 8 pm. If your registration is current, you do not need ID; to register at the polls, bring one proof of residence. |
Vote early. Bring two.
Early voting is open through Nov 2 · Register in advance by Tue Oct 13 · You can register when you vote
Minnesota Secretary of State, as of Oct 10
The Minnesota kit
6 to share
Margin Is Calling, Cut I
Margin Is Calling, Cut II
Margin Is Calling, Cut III
Margin Is Calling, Cut IV
Margin Is Calling, Cut III, 60 seconds
Endorsed
Rebecca Whiting, Libertarian
“No more wars. Unless the United States is attacked, we have no business using our military in foreign countries.”
In 2024 she drew 55,215 votes for U.S. Senate in Minnesota, 1.73 percent.
whiting4senate.us, read Oct 10, 2026; Minnesota Secretary of State, Nov 5, 2024 U.S. Senate results.
For reporters
Every number here has a source.
Updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:51 pm ET
Ratings
| Cook Political Report | Likely DRead Oct 10, 2026 |
| Inside Elections | Lean DRead Oct 10, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely DRead Oct 10, 2026 |
Cook Political Report; Inside Elections (its page updated Oct 1, 2026); Sabato's Crystal Ball (its Oct 6, 2026 Senate map); each read on the rater's own page.
Polls
| Rasmussen ReportsOct 5 to 7, 2026 · 856 LV | Tafoya 45 · Flanagan 48 |
| Big Data PollSep 29 to 30, 2026 · 622 LV | Tafoya 43.6 · Flanagan 45.8 · Whiting 5.2 |
| InsiderAdvantageSep 28 to 29, 2026 · 1,200 LV | Tafoya 44.5 · Flanagan 45.6 · Whiting 2.4 |
| co/efficientSep 14 to 15, 2026 · 833 LV | Tafoya 42 · Flanagan 43 · Whiting 2 |
| SurveyUSASep 9 to 14, 2026 · 654 LV | Tafoya 42 · Flanagan 42 · Whiting 2 |
| Quantus InsightsSep 8 to 10, 2026 · 720 LV | Tafoya 44.4 · Flanagan 48.2 |
Public polls fielded since Sep 1, newest first. Big Data Poll counts leaners. Whiting's share is blank where the poll did not report her by name.
Money
| Michele Tafoya (R), campaign raised | $5,337,942 |
| Peggy Flanagan (D), campaign raised | $6,517,348 |
Federal Election Commission, 2025-26 campaign totals through Jul 22, 2026.
The margin
Big Data Poll, Sep 29 to 30: Flanagan led Tafoya by 2.2 points; Whiting drew 5.2 percent, counting leaners.
Big Data Poll, 622 Minnesota likely voters, Sep 29 to 30, 2026, the pollster's release and crosstabs.